Just a personal note. I changed my affiliation back in 2008 when my "boss" made work life very uncomfortable (to say the very least) for any of us that she found out were Democrats and who voted for Obama. All one needs to look up someone's affiliation in NC is a birthdate and she had that as my supervisor. I often wonder how many other voters need to keep this private because the State does not.
You can slice and dice the early voting data many ways using simple drop down boxes and radio buttons. On of the more interesting views is looking at the gender gap, since I think many unaffilated women - especially young ones - are going to be voting for Kamala and against Trump. The early vote gender gap is bigger in NC (10% higher for women than men) than nationwide (8.1%) and it is bigger still in Mecklenburg County (13.1%) where I live.
Yesterday afternoon I did a shift of poll observing and the first-time voters were through the roof! (The poll workers ask anyone who hasn't voted previously in the county if they are first-time voters and if they say yes it gets announced to the room). The chief judge told me that they had processed 25 (!) same day registrations - a record in his memory. I checked yesterday's vote count for this EV site and these same-day registrations accounted for over 3% of the votes at this site.
The GOP likes to ignore unaffilated voters altogether - despite the fact that younger unaffiliated voters are cutting heavily in favor of Kamala. In addition, I think there are a good chunk of former Republicans who switched to unaffiliated after the big lie and the Jan 6th insurrection who will never vote for him again 🙏
I spoke to an active Democrat in Mecklenburg County who said that their county leader has changed and they're getting Mecklenburg to vote a lot more than 4 years ago and 2 years ago. Five of the Council of State Democratic candidates live in Mecklenburg County.
I'm in Mecklenburg and it was a sea change when Drew Cromer became the chair of MCDP. And of course this comes on top of Anderson Clayton winning as chair of the state party.
Here's to NC becoming the first swing state Trump loses, either on election night or more probably on Wednesday or Thursday afterward. We can make it far more difficult or almost impossible for him to win nationally!
What’s the deal with this $2M advertising retreat by Harris in NC????? Anyone ??
Just a personal note. I changed my affiliation back in 2008 when my "boss" made work life very uncomfortable (to say the very least) for any of us that she found out were Democrats and who voted for Obama. All one needs to look up someone's affiliation in NC is a birthdate and she had that as my supervisor. I often wonder how many other voters need to keep this private because the State does not.
I have been using Tom Bonier's Target Early tool on his Target Smart website: https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/g2024
You can slice and dice the early voting data many ways using simple drop down boxes and radio buttons. On of the more interesting views is looking at the gender gap, since I think many unaffilated women - especially young ones - are going to be voting for Kamala and against Trump. The early vote gender gap is bigger in NC (10% higher for women than men) than nationwide (8.1%) and it is bigger still in Mecklenburg County (13.1%) where I live.
Yesterday afternoon I did a shift of poll observing and the first-time voters were through the roof! (The poll workers ask anyone who hasn't voted previously in the county if they are first-time voters and if they say yes it gets announced to the room). The chief judge told me that they had processed 25 (!) same day registrations - a record in his memory. I checked yesterday's vote count for this EV site and these same-day registrations accounted for over 3% of the votes at this site.
Why yesterday? It turns out that yesterday was Vote Early Day (https://voteearlyday.org/about-us/).
Big turnout at the Raleigh presidential rally today
NC GOP operatives are trying to wave the Early In-Person stats like it’s a guarantee the state goes red.
Pretty wild considering they’re doing the same play in NJ, which has no chance of going red.
The GOP likes to ignore unaffilated voters altogether - despite the fact that younger unaffiliated voters are cutting heavily in favor of Kamala. In addition, I think there are a good chunk of former Republicans who switched to unaffiliated after the big lie and the Jan 6th insurrection who will never vote for him again 🙏
I spoke to an active Democrat in Mecklenburg County who said that their county leader has changed and they're getting Mecklenburg to vote a lot more than 4 years ago and 2 years ago. Five of the Council of State Democratic candidates live in Mecklenburg County.
I'm in Mecklenburg and it was a sea change when Drew Cromer became the chair of MCDP. And of course this comes on top of Anderson Clayton winning as chair of the state party.
buy me a beer; I'll buy you a beer
Here's to NC becoming the first swing state Trump loses, either on election night or more probably on Wednesday or Thursday afterward. We can make it far more difficult or almost impossible for him to win nationally!
Good news!